What's my startup worth? It made $5M last year, is growing fast, and is in a big market.
Startup Valuation Estimate
Based on the provided information, here is an estimated valuation range for your B2B SaaS startup in the marketing analytics space:
Key Metrics
- Revenue (last 12 months): $5M ARR
- Year-over-year revenue growth: 80%
- Gross profit margin: 75%
- Estimated market size: $20B
- Key competitors: Mixpanel, Amplitude
Industry Benchmarks
According to recent industry reports, the average revenue multiple for B2B SaaS companies is between 8x to 12x ARR, depending on growth rate and market positioning. Companies with high growth rates (>50% YoY) and large market opportunities often command higher multiples.
Valuation Methodologies
1. Revenue Multiple
- Assuming a revenue multiple range of 10x to 15x due to the high growth rate and large market size
- Valuation range: $50M to $75M
2. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
- Assumptions:
- 5-year projection period
- Revenue growth rate declines by 10% each year (70%, 60%, 50%, 40%, 30%)
- Gross margin remains at 75%
- Operating margin improves from 10% to 30% over 5 years
- Discount rate of 20% (based on typical SaaS venture capital expectations)
- Terminal growth rate of 3%
- Implied valuation: $60M to $70M
Valuation Range
Based on the above methodologies, a reasonable pre-money valuation range for your startup is:
$50M to $75M
Strengths and Risk Factors
- Strengths:
- High revenue growth rate (80% YoY)
- Strong gross profit margins (75%)
- Large total addressable market ($20B)
- Risk Factors:
- Competitive landscape with established players like Mixpanel and Amplitude
- Dependence on continued high growth rates to justify valuation
Strategies to Increase Valuation
- Focus on maintaining high revenue growth while improving operating margins
- Differentiate product offering and value proposition from competitors
- Expand into adjacent market segments to increase total addressable market
- Build strong customer retention and upsell/cross-sell motion to drive net dollar retention
Please note that startup valuations are highly subjective and can vary based on numerous factors such as market sentiment, investor appetite, and company-specific risks. This estimate should be used as a general guideline and not as a definitive valuation.